Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002618 0.002793 0.002982 0.003202 0.003452 0.003730 0.004067
2024-12-29 0.002381 0.002623 0.002901 0.003247 0.003674 0.004196 0.004902
2025-01-05 0.002169 0.002440 0.002763 0.003186 0.003741 0.004471 0.005557
2025-01-12 0.001989 0.002270 0.002614 0.003080 0.003718 0.004608 0.006044
2025-01-19 0.001886 0.002181 0.002551 0.003069 0.003812 0.004911 0.006852
2025-01-26 0.001728 0.002010 0.002367 0.002874 0.003615 0.004743 0.006824
2025-02-02 0.001674 0.001966 0.002345 0.002897 0.003735 0.005083 0.007810
2025-02-09 0.001649 0.001958 0.002368 0.002984 0.003961 0.005640 0.009477
2025-02-16 0.001603 0.001919 0.002344 0.002997 0.004069 0.006011 0.010948
2025-02-23 0.001591 0.001923 0.002380 0.003104 0.004346 0.006776 0.014089
2025-03-02 0.001535 0.001865 0.002323 0.003058 0.004349 0.006976 0.015694
2025-03-09 0.001477 0.001801 0.002253 0.002987 0.004297 0.007045 0.016909
2025-03-16 0.001453 0.001785 0.002259 0.003045 0.004508 0.007821 0.022779
2025-03-23 0.001428 0.001768 0.002260 0.003098 0.004722 0.008716 0.033085
2025-03-30 0.001379 0.001715 0.002203 0.003046 0.004715 0.009012 0.041150
2025-04-06 0.001324 0.001649 0.002124 0.002949 0.004600 0.008948 0.045518
2025-04-13 0.001293 0.001617 0.002096 0.002940 0.004673 0.009514 0.067903
2025-04-20 0.001225 0.001529 0.001976 0.002759 0.004347 0.008665 0.052153
2025-04-27 0.001206 0.001513 0.001969 0.002780 0.004477 0.009417 0.093055
2025-05-04 0.001201 0.001516 0.001993 0.002861 0.004757 0.010899 0.865378
2025-05-11 0.001182 0.001499 0.001981 0.002873 0.004877 0.011857 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001180 0.001507 0.002014 0.002972 0.005234 0.014307 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001153 0.001475 0.001975 0.002930 0.005213 0.014764 NaN